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Saturday, September 24, 2011

The spot gold price fell to its lowest level since mid-August

The price of gold came under significant pressure yesterday as the U.S. dollar rallied to a seven-month high against a basket of foreign currencies. The spot gold price fell to its lowest level since mid-August. The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), the world’s most liquid gold price proxy, tumbled to $164.60 Friday morning – leaving the world’s second largest ETF lower by 6.4% this week.

Legendary investor Jim Rogers echoed this positive sentiment on the dollar in a CNBC interview on Thursday. “I own the dollar. As we talked last time, I think the dollar is going to go higher…It’s going up against everything right now. There are various reasons for that, one of which is everybody is panicked and for some reason they are rushing into the U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar is not a safe haven if you ask me but I do own it.”

Rogers – known for running the Quantum Fund with George Soros and for his positive stance on commodities over the past decade – reiterated that his bullish bet on the greenback is only for the short-term. Over the longer-term he sees it going considerably lower as the U.S. government remains committed to debasing its currency to stimulate economic growth. Rogers has also been a long-time gold bull and recently predicted that the gold price will soon surpass its $2,300 inflation-adjusted all-time high.

Although Rogers did not specifically discuss the price of gold in yesterday’s interview, his outlook for the global financial system and economy augurs well for higher gold prices over the longer-term. “The major problems are coming from the West, from Europe and the U.S. We’re much worse off than we were in 2008 because the debt has gone through the roof since 2008. At least in 2008 there was a possibility that governments could bail us out. Right now of course the governments have gotten deep into debt themselves.”

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